With the release of 2010 Bowman, I've thought more and more about prospecting. It's not really something that I am into, but there are so many who are.
I wonder about the drive for prospectors and those who want to collect the cards of the hottest stars. Are they looking for the next Albert Pujols? Do they just want to own something that no one else can have?
Take the Stephen Strasburg 2010 Bowman Superfractor, which is now up for auction (link). As of Thursday (5/20), the card has nine days left is up to $7,100.
There is no doubt that Strasburg has been amazing in the Minor League. He'll be making his Major League debut probably within the next two weeks, and probably sooner than that. Does a card like this retain its value?
In five years, if the person who won this card goes to resell it, would it sell for the same amazing amount? Cheaper? More? An interesting question is what would Strasburg have to do over the next five years to make this card worth more, less or the same?
I'm fascinated by the whole prospecting thing. I've only really thought about it twice with Yankee prospects, moreso because the Yankees are my team of choice. So, if I get the good cards of the prospects before they make it big with the parent club, perhaps my collection would be cheaper. However, Jose Tabata really didn't work out with the Yankees and now I have his cards sitting in a binder asking why I don't love them anymore.